| Presentation hour: Presented by Yong-Jung Kim (KAIST) title: How to use the SIR model to validate epidemic prevention policies abstract: Various epidemic models have been mainly used to predict how far an epidemic will spread in the future. However, epidemic models based on the ODE system have limitations in prediction. Additionally, when epidemic prevention measures are implemented, the coefficients of the model fundamentally change. In this presentation, we will present the use of the SIR model not as a prediction but as a means of verifying the effectiveness of epidemic prevention measures. The basic idea is to verify how the basic reproduction number R_0 of the model reflects specific policy changes through appropriate stochastic individual-based models. |